Metal Ligaen
Herlev Eagles vs Herning Blue Fox
Sunday, Apr 19, 13:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 55.3%Herlev Eagles
41.7%
book 37.0%
Herning Blue Fox
58.3%
book 63.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| poisson | 31.9% | 68.1% |
| elo | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| market | 37.0% | 63.0% |
- Herlev Eagles wPPG 1.67 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-L)
- Herning Blue Fox wPPG 1.70 (away 3.00, W-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.09
- xG Herlev Eagles 2.38 vs Herning Blue Fox 3.35
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Herlev Eagles 1597 vs Herning Blue Fox 1618
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- home 2.55EV +6.3%Edge 4.6%Kelly 4.0%