Euroleague

Fenerbahçe Beko vs Kauno Žalgiris

Thursday, Apr 30, 17:45

Consensus

High confidence · 74.8%
Fenerbahçe Beko
76.7%
Kauno Žalgiris
23.3%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form72.4%27.6%
normal84.6%15.4%
elo63.5%36.5%
  • Fenerbahçe Beko wPPG 2.00 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-W)
  • Kauno Žalgiris wPPG 1.67 (away 1.50, W-W-W-W-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.60
  • Expected score Fenerbahçe Beko 64.7 vs Kauno Žalgiris 55.0
  • Margin μ=12.24, σ=12
  • P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 84.6%
  • Elo Fenerbahçe Beko 1675 vs Kauno Žalgiris 1639
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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