Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Real Madrid
Monday, May 04, 18:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 68.2%Hapoel Tel-Aviv
67.1%
Real Madrid
32.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| normal | 70.4% | 29.6% |
| elo | 58.0% | 42.0% |
- Hapoel Tel-Aviv wPPG 1.48 (home 2.00, W-W-W-W-W)
- Real Madrid wPPG 1.52 (away 1.20, W-W-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.51
- Expected score Hapoel Tel-Aviv 65.7 vs Real Madrid 61.8
- Margin μ=6.44, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 70.4%
- Elo Hapoel Tel-Aviv 1618 vs Real Madrid 1622
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).