Euroleague

Kauno Žalgiris vs Fenerbahçe Beko

Monday, May 04, 18:00

Consensus

Medium confidence · 62.7%
Kauno Žalgiris
63.5%
Fenerbahçe Beko
36.5%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form55.3%44.7%
normal73.4%26.6%
elo53.4%46.6%
  • Kauno Žalgiris wPPG 1.67 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-L)
  • Fenerbahçe Beko wPPG 2.00 (away 3.00, W-W-W-W-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.13
  • Expected score Kauno Žalgiris 64.6 vs Fenerbahçe Beko 59.6
  • Margin μ=7.50, σ=12
  • P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 73.4%
  • Elo Kauno Žalgiris 1639 vs Fenerbahçe Beko 1675
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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